The 5.3 Theory says that percentage gains for each cycle are reducing by a factor of 5.3.摘要：BitXstatesthattoreachthenext10Xmultipleinprice,wemustdoublethetimetogettherewhichisamuchmoreeffectivewayofmeasuringdiminishingreturns...
If you believe in this Theory, you also believe that Bitcoin will die after this cycle.
BitX states that to reach the next 10X multiple in price, we must double the time to get there which is a much more effective way of measuring diminishing returns.
This means that Bitcoin can continue to progress, but will take longer to get there.
I have already covered the 5.3 Theory in depth.
It is based on an average of 3 data points and is not precise.
5.3 returns for this cycle would give us a top of around $77,000.
Do this again, and you better hope Bitcoin bottoms at a high price because the possible returns are just a 75% increase from the lows.
If Bitcoin bottomed at 26k after reaching 77k, this would mean a cycle top in 2029 of around 44,000.
And then very quickly, Bitcoin would flatline.
BitX solves this.
It recognizes that returns are diminishing, but also that Bitcoin is a scarce and desirable asset.
We did not reach 100k last cycle because it would take 2 cycles to get there.
To reach 1 million will take 4 cycles or until November 28th, 2041.
I think you can overdo in on conservatism, which I know people are worried about considering last cycle's subpar performance.
If you front-run everything, you may as well just sell now to be prepared. Of course, this is not effective.
5.3 diminishing returns are possible, but I think people are battle-wounded from last cycle.
The projections are typically overshot a little on BitX.
Ultimately, I won't put my trust in any singular model or price target, but I think 100k is perfectly achievable this cycle.
According to my projections 130k is a reasonable target for +/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2025 (Halving Cycles Theory)